The AI Revolution: From Self-Driving Dreams to Image-Making Machines
I’ve spent the past two decades deeply immersed in artificial intelligence, beginning even before my first “commercial” stint as the leader of Amazon’s inaugural AI team: “Customer Behavior Research.”My work spans both the strategic business applications and the technical heart of this field.
And eight years ago, I boldly proclaimed that self-driving cars were the future—the pinnacle of AI’s impact on our lives. Elon had me convinced, but I apparently missed the mark. This is the first in a series of posts sharing my perspective on AI in our world with a specific focus on the impact of AI on human security.
That’s the thing about this AI revolution—it’s been building momentum all along, and its impact is truly mind-blowing. Allow me to explain.
Roy Amara’s Law and When to Hold Your Horses
As futurist Roy Amara famously postulated, we fell victim to the “Peak of Inflated Expectations.”
Yet, history has shown that true transformative technologies often defy the peaks and valleys of hype cycles, with the plateau of productivity not reached for decades. Just consider the printing press, the internet, and the ubiquitous mobile devices we carry today. They all weathered their own storms of disillusionment before becoming indispensable parts of our lives. Seems like I fell victim to the hype surrounding self-driving cars.
“We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.” – Roy Amara
AI is poised to be one of these transformative, long-haul game-changers.
So, How Will AI Change Everything?
According to a report by Statista, the global AI market is projected to reach a staggering $738.8 billion by 2030, with industries ranging from healthcare to finance investing heavily in AI-driven solutions. This exponential growth is a testament to the transformative potential of AI across various sectors. Consider:
Creativity Unleashed
Remember when you thought only humans could be the masters of artistic expression? AI says, “Hold my algorithm!” AI tools like SDXL-Turbo (as seen in my own recent West Coast Machine Learning Meetup on YouTube) can turn the most mundane text descriptions into stunningly original images in seconds. Artists, designers, and even your average social media enthusiast now have a powerhouse of creativity unleashed at their fingertips.
In fact, a trading card company recently dropped $90,000 on art made by an AI! They say it’s way better—and faster, and cheaper—than anything they could get from a human artist.
This capability and its ensuing businesses are 100% blue-ocean, net-new over the past 5 years. Billions of dollars of potential fully unleashed.
Productivity On Steroids
AI is streamlining jobs across industries. Need to analyze a mountain of data? AI algorithms can crunch the numbers and spit out insightful reports before you’ve finished your morning coffee. From healthcare diagnostics to customer service chatbots, AI is taking over repetitive tasks, giving humans back precious time and resources to focus on what they do best.
Most importantly, this impact isn’t relegated to just monotonous, entry-level tasks like transcription, but reaches way up into the upper middle class such as lawyers and software engineers. Called “Predictive Coding,” AI writing code means that the layperson can engage in something called “No-Code” applications that are described vs. composed; or “Low-Code” applications take a decent coder and make them a superhuman or a great one and give her superhero status.
While we’re already seeing immense capabilities here, I foresee that the productivity curve will be amazing short term, face challenges, and then have an immense, unpredictable impact over 10 years.
Personalized Everything
Imagine an AI-powered future where every experience is tailored just for you. AI assistants could learn your preferences inside and out—your favorite music, the ideal temperature in your house, and even your preferred route to work. This isn’t just about convenience; it’s about an unprecedented level of personalized care and attention.
The LLM revolution combined with what’s called “Multi-model” models lets AI understand you like never before: Analyzing text, purchase patterns, internet interests, or even daily routines all in a single model—then outputting things like recommended content, offers, and products you’ll actually love (or generate this content from nothing!) because these huge models can see all these aspects of you all at once.
Personalization has been a focus of mine for dozens of years starting at Amazon, and Multi-modal LLMs represent the first chance at truly solving this problem once and for all.
Healthcare
AI-powered diagnostic tools are revolutionizing patient care by analyzing medical images with unprecedented accuracy. A study published in Nature Medicine found that an AI algorithm outperformed radiologists in detecting breast cancer from mammograms, highlighting the life-saving potential of AI in the industry.
Genetics
Some might argue that AlphaFold is the biggest breakthrough in understanding life in the past century. It may not be as flashy as AI art, but it tackles a fundamental question: how DNA—the blueprint for life—translates into proteins, the building blocks of life itself. Until 2022, this process was a complete mystery, but Google’s AlphaFold cracked the code and continues to improve daily as we throw new problems and new data at it.
Unfolding the mysteries and mechanics of life feels like a well whose depth we can’t overestimate, so I don’t know what’s to be found down this path, but one thing is for certain—we see more now than ever before, and our pace of discovery is accelerating.
Accessibility and Education on a New Level
LLMs such as ChatGPT will redefine knowledge and expertise. Imagine being able to:
- Translate any U.S. educational content (including pictures and videos!) into any language or cultural context.
- Get summaries of complex research papers, perfectly tailored to your existing knowledge.
- Receive personalized lessons based on your performance in a subject and related areas.
AI can do all this, and more. It can bridge the gap between different disciplines, languages, cultures, and subjects—and all within minutes. And translation is really just the beginning: question-and-answer capabilities are able to summarize vast troves of data, personalize these answers and you have a 1:1 tutor who is an expert in the subject: Summaries, in-depth discussions, back-and-forth sessions with the equivalent of a Nobel-prize winning expert.
Education is another area I predict to be a long-term unfolding opportunity. The size of data available to “Learn” combined with the ever-growing need for knowledge workers will show that more and more problems can be solved with technology with every year that passes.
Numbers Don’t Lie: AI’s Meteoric Rise
Don’t think this is just me getting carried away— the numbers back up the impending AI revolution:
- AI investment is exploding: Venture capitalists pumped nearly 5x as much into Artificial Intelligence startups in the first half of 2023 compared to the same period in 2022, while AI companies snagged more than 20% of all venture funding in February of this year, totaling more than $4.7 billion over just 29 days.
- Jobs, jobs, and more jobs: The worldwide AI market is expected to create more than 12 million new jobs by 2025.
This isn’t just hype—it’s about real money. Companies that generate images and text are seeing their profits skyrocket. We’re talking about going from $1–2 million a year to over $100 million in less than three years. Calling that growth meteoric might actually be selling it short.
Yes, Challenges Exist
It’s not all rainbows and robot unicorns, though, and the rise of AI is not without its challenges. One of the most pressing concerns is the ethical implications of AI, particularly in the realm of decision-making.
As AI algorithms become increasingly autonomous, they have the potential to make decisions that profoundly impact human lives. From criminal justice systems that rely on AI to determine sentencing guidelines to autonomous vehicles that must make split-second decisions in life-or-death situations, the stakes are higher than ever before.
- Algorithmic Bias: As AI algorithms are trained on datasets that are created by humans, the implicit and explicit biases of those humans have the potential to perpetuate and amplify, leading to discriminatory outcomes in areas such as hiring, lending, policing, and more. Addressing this requires ethical AI development and continuous monitoring.
- The Job Market Shift: While AI creates new jobs, certain roles will become obsolete. We need a major focus on retraining and re-skilling to keep workers ahead of the curve. Thank goodness, AI may be just the tool to help us do this!
- IP and Privacy Worries: As AI gathers more data about us, safeguarding our privacy becomes even more crucial—and exponentially more complex. “Whose Data is it Anyway?” we will be forced to answer either as practitioners or in court. See: Microsoft, OpenAI sued over copyright infringement by authors (cnbc.com)
- Legislation: This year, Congress finally started paying attention to AI after even Elon Musk voiced concerns. But let’s be honest, folks—if it took them 15 years to figure out whether to charge Amazon.com sales tax (important, but not exactly rocket science), how can we be confident they’ll handle AI? We all recall Mark Zuckerberg’s nonchalant appearance before Congress—unprepared, perfectly tanned, and completely unconcerned. If he doesn’t respect or care about legislation, how can something 100x bigger, faster, and smarter than The Social Network be wrangled in by these same legislators? Are we really prepared for the government to tackle this PhD-level topic?
- The SkyNet Problem: Every major tech leap seems to amplify humanity—both its best and worst parts. Take the internet, for example. It promised a world of shared knowledge and truth but became a breeding ground for misinformation because the Prisoner Dilemma incentivizes people to lie—whether through state-sponsored or private acts—to make money. Mobile apps were supposed to connect us, but they often leave us feeling even more isolated.
And AI is next in line. With its vast potential comes serious challenges.
Should we rewrite the rules? Maybe not. This might be a time to re-evaluate some of our core beliefs. Are they still relevant in this new age? The financial pressure to ignore these issues will be immense. We’re talking trillions. But where do we stand?
Looking Forward
Get ready, because in the next 1–2 years, AI will become the ultimate power tool. Businesses that master it will leave their competitors in the dust. And soon after? AI will likely become the deciding factor between success and failure—the de facto discriminator between the “haves” and “have-nots.”
Despite the challenges that lie ahead, the future of AI is undeniably bright. With each passing day, researchers are pushing the boundaries of what is possible, unlocking new capabilities and potential applications for AI.
From personalized medicine to sustainable agriculture, the potential applications of AI are as vast as the imagination itself. And while the road ahead may be littered with challenges, one thing is certain: the age of AI is upon us, and it will reshape every aspect of our lives in ways we have even yet to imagine.
We can’t stop this wave, nor can most of us influence it at all—we must learn to ride it as best as possible. From stunning artistic creations to cutting-edge solutions that keep us safe—AI will transform our work, our imaginations, and our realities. At Deep Sentinel, we’ve been very intentional about how we build and use AI, and I’ll share more about this in upcoming posts.
In summary, AI is coming, and we must be educated and intentional in how we choose to build, apply, and entrust AI with our future. The coming year will see a burst of immense change, where the haves and have-nots will be up for grabs once again—all based on who applies AI best.
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